What the world predicts in 2020

What kind of year will 2020 be? From Sydney, Australia to Times Square, New York, the world faces this problem when the gorgeous fireworks stop and the New Year’s Eve party ends. In 1968, Pol, a professor of political science at the Massachusetts Institute of Technology, predicted that nationalism would decline in 2018, and the development of communication and the improvement of language translation would make humans a happy and loving group. But this is obviously not the world we are in today.The most prominent labels in 2019 include trade wars, protests and wild forest fires. For 2020, international public opinion is most concerned about whether Trump will be re-elected in the November US presidential election. The new year will inevitably bring the inertia of 2019, so some people also predict that “North Korea attacks US military bases” and “India and Pakistan slide to war.” A more consistent view is that the world economy may be relatively stable in 2020. What will happen to China in 2020? Foreign media mentioned trade wars, economic growth, debt issues, and the situation in Hong Kong and Taiwan. The Russian news agency stressed that 2020 “China will still be the engine of world economic growth.” The well-known British scholar Martin Jacques has a more ambitious vision. He focuses on the reality of China’s development and believes that “the first decade of the 21st century belongs to China, and so will the second decade in the future.”

“Global Stress Test Year”?

“In 2020, the world will undergo stress tests,” the German “Spiegel” weekly stated in an article on the 1st. For Britain, the biggest stress test is Brexit on January 31. Spain will suffer from separatist forces. French President Macron It is necessary to deal with the rebound of pension reform. The two major problems of Russian President Putin are the United States and Ukraine, and the wrestling of Israel, Iran, Turkey and the United States will hit the Middle East. South American countries such as Venezuela and Chile will continue to face social unrest, and Africa will need to overcome various disasters and develop vigorously.

The Nikkei Asian Review focuses on Asia on the same day and lists possible conflicts and problems: North Korea fires missiles at U.S. military bases, and Thailand ’s demonstrations against the Prime Minister erupt. Social unrest has impacted India’s economy, violence in Myanmar before the November elections, and political succession in Malaysia. “Sydney

The Herald Morning article titled “World Outlook 2020” argues that the world ’s biggest story this year will be the U.S. presidential election, “the Trump victory in 2016 shocked the United States and abroad. If he loses the November election, many people He will be written off as an accidental and abnormal one. If he wins, it will strengthen his right-wing populist signboard. ” Canada’s “Global Post” said that in 2008, Americans chose “the healer” Obama, but still failed to bridge the United States differences, and Trump seized the United States’ increasingly divisive differences. The paper argued that “in 2020, the United States will continue to be volatile regardless of the outcome of the presidential election.”

The Korean Central News Agency issued the communiqué of the Fifth Plenary Session of the Seventh Central Committee of the Workers’ Party of Korea on the 1st. The communiqué criticized the United States for “playing dialogue and negotiation signs and saying vernacular” “no intention to cancel the enemy’s DPRK policy.” The communiqué also said that due to the “US robbers”, while hostilities and nuclear threats continue to intensify, we cannot just look at the immediate economic success

Results and welfare and abandon future security, the world will see new strategic weapons that North Korea will soon possess. The British “Guardian” said North Korea sent a signal that the country may resume nuclear missile tests. Some media also said that North Korea still left the United States an opportunity for dialogue. US Foreign Policy warned Tuesday that another conflict could occur. The article states that due to the continued intensification of the Kashmir crisis, India and Pakistan will further slide to war in 2020. India is currently suffering the largest economic slowdown in six years, Pakistan is facing serious debt problems, and the two countries are unable to repair the economy. Seek political advantage.

2020 is not all a heavy topic, the Times of India reminds this year that it is “the year of the Olympics.” Japan’s “Yomiuri Shimbun” looks forward to Japan’s confidence in achieving prosperity again through the Tokyo Olympics. The British “Nature” magazine will turn its attention to space, emphasizing that 2020 will witness the Mars exploration missions in the United States, China and Russia and other countries. The US “Space” website commented that 2020 was “an exciting year” for world aerospace.

What will happen to China?

“2020 is a milestone year. We will build a well-off society in an all-round way and achieve our first century-old goal. 2020 is also the year of resolute victory against poverty.” On the evening of Tuesday, Chinese President Xi Jinping delivered a 2020 New Year message. In his congratulatory message, he stated that the long river of history is endless, there are calm and calm, and there are rough seas. We are not afraid of storms or dangers. South Korea’s “World News” reported on the 1st that from President Xi’s New Year’s message, he saw China’s major achievements, including the celebration of the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People’s Republic of China, the successful landing of Chang’e-4 on the back of the moon, and the domestic carrier Shandong service. , Highlighting China’s power.

A prosperous China is good news for the world, and a panting China is bad news for the world, the Japan Times wrote on Tuesday.

On the 1st, RIA Novosti quoted Sanakoyev, director of the Russia-China Research Center, as saying that in the context of weak global economic growth, China will continue to maintain its position as a global engine of development in 2020. For China, 2019 is not an easy one: Sino-US trade negotiations are difficult, but the domestic market as a whole has shown steady growth. In terms of economic growth, China is a leader in major global economies. “I have no doubts about China’s plan to eradicate poverty, build a beautiful China, etc. These are milestones and an important driving force for all Chinese people,” he said.

“How will China change in 2020?” Yonhap said on the 1st, with China and the United States reaching agreement on the text of the first phase of the economic and trade agreement, China will further relax various restrictions on foreign investment this year, and the door to openness is opening wider. . As a landmark foreign investment law, it was formally implemented in China on the 1st. “Korea Daily” stated that South Korea ’s first overseas cargo flight was to China in 2020, and that the first foreign visitors to South Korea in 2020 were also Chinese.

“As China and the United States reach agreement on the text of the first-stage economic and trade agreement, China’s economic prospects look more optimistic in 2020,” Hong Kong’s “South China Morning Post” said on the 1st, China’s economy has shown signs of rising. There is good reason for outside optimism. The previous day, Russian Satellite Network published a more than 4,000-word long article reviewing “China’s economic diplomacy achievements in 2019”, including the “G7” Italy taking the lead in supporting the “Belt and Road” project at the official level, the Second Expo in Shanghai, Russia, China-Natural Gas Cooperation and German BASF Group’s US $ 10 billion investment project in Zhanjiang.

Fox, a Berlin international political scholar, told the Global Times reporter on the 1st that if the United States is the world ’s largest question mark in 2020, China is a force to rely on because China is the largest contributor to global economic growth. open. On the same day, Albert Keidel, a former chief economist of the World Bank, and a reporter from the Global Times talked about the Chinese economy in 2020, summed up with two keywords: calm and hopeful.

Rahman, a national security scholar at Nanyang Technological University in Singapore, wrote on the Singapore Today website on the 1st that a new decade has come, and public order issues such as protests are not impossible for Singapore. In the past decade, out of dissatisfaction with political and economic issues, the “Arab Spring” broke out in the Middle East. As the Internet and social media have closely linked people and ideology, the Internet has evolved into a chaotic battlefield with hostile dissent. People, states, and non-state actors can join hands to wage an informal battle of ideas, creating turmoil and violence in real life. He warned that geopolitics could be intertwined with civil strife and networks, exacerbating domestic security challenges, and hostile countries could indirectly divide Singaporeans, politicize their local problems, and interfere in Singapore. “Lianhe Zaobao” stated that in the next decade, the pattern of international power will undergo tremendous changes, and the development of science and technology will enter the era of 5G and artificial intelligence. This will completely change the workplace structure and increase people’s anxiety about job security and income disparities.

“The world will usher in a new turmoil in 2020.” Russia’s “Independence” commented on this subject as saying that there are many factors that can provoke a new crisis. The United States has favorable political and economic requirements, such as the strengthening of activities of non-state actors such as the Soros Foundation. The paper called for the end of hysterics in international relations and for agreement on uniform rules on a UN platform that is not enforced by anyone.