The counterfeiter

In Western countries such as the United States, where rational politicians are increasingly scarce and politicians are increasingly rampant, all kinds of lies and deceptions that carry out individual selfish purposes under the banner of national interests can easily become popular. Even after the lie was debunked, some of the counterfeiters could still not blush. Peter Navarro, the current director of the White House National Trade Commission and the chief Chinese policy adviser to President Trump, is one of the “outstanding” representatives.

According to several media reports in the United States, after being exposed by Australian scholars, Navarro finally admitted that Ron Vara, the “economist” who is extremely hostile to China, appeared in many books such as “Fatal China”. ), in fact, does not exist, but the homonym of his own surname (Navarro). However, Navarro is very dissatisfied with his own fraudulent behavior, and even bluntly said that Ron Vala is “a whimsical pseudonym used by him for years to express his views and pure entertainment value, not the source of the facts”. And cheered “There was finally someone who discovered this joke that has been hidden for many years.” Nash’s words and deeds not only interpret the words “shameless fearlessness” into a three-point, but also let Machiavellianism find a lively real script in the United States in the 21st century. His words and deeds and US Secretary of State Pompeo publicly acknowledged in a speech at Texas A&M University in April this year, “We lie, we deceive, we steal, we have a course dedicated to teaching these, this is the glory of the United States constantly exploring and forging ahead.” “It coincides.” The 70-year-old Navarro has been very persistent and entangled before joining the Trump policy team. Born and bitter, he is often ridiculed by mainstream American economists who don’t understand economics.

But Navarro, who holds a Ph.D. from Harvard University and has been teaching at the University of California, Irvine, has never been mediocre. He knows that if you want to be a leader in the American political circles, you must be out of your way and fight hard, so that you can get a chance. Therefore, after intensive thinking, Navarro will target the Chinese forces that are flourishing in the country. Navarro has written 13 best-selling books, three of which are related to China. And all three books have a common theme, using a variety of sensational ways to accuse China of the main cause of job losses in the US manufacturing industry, and that China controls currency. In his most famous anti-Chinese book, Deadly China, Navarro said that China poses a deadly threat to the United States, arguing that China is the home base for the production of black-hearted products, not only expanding its military strength, but also engaging in espionage activities against the United States. The political system is incompatible with the United States.

More deadly, in the second part of the book, he portrays Sino-US trade as a weapon to destroy American jobs; and in the fifth part, he directly portrays China as an evil “currency manipulator”, claiming that China manipulates the RMB exchange rate. Deprivation of US national interests, saying that this is the root cause of unequal and unfair trade relations between China and the United States. These “fatal” views and propositions of Navarro have a market among the extreme right-wing American elites and people. Because of a series of propositions on China-US economic and trade relations and President Trump coincide, Navarro has the opportunity of “a rare event” and became the “Best in the Truth’s Intuition Policy” one person. However, the Washington “hawks in the hawks”, due to common sense misunderstandings on the impact of tariffs on US businesses and households, even conflated tariffs and VAT, from time to time by the Wall Street Journal. The ridicule and rebuttal of the mainstream media. Even so, in the view of some Washington policymakers who hold extreme views on China policy, it does not matter whether Navarro’s policy recommendations have sufficient factual support. What is important is that his “patriotic enthusiasm” and loyalty have never been discounted. This has made Navarro a lot of criticism, but his position is still very stable.

In fact, in the past Sino-US consultations on economic and trade issues, Navarro’s extreme pressure and super-hard attitudes were mixed with the negotiating ideas that were not based on common sense. From time to time, he became the dominant opinion of the White House, and sometimes even more than the Hittite’s The proposition to China is even tough. From his works and interviews, it can be found that Navarro’s goal for the rest of his life is to use all means to defeat China. Even if this goal cannot be achieved, it will at least disrupt China’s rhythm of catching up with the US and slow down the pace of China’s rise.

In order to prevent China from taking the manufacturing industry as the basis, it will seize the dollar territory through the promotion of the trade value chain and financial competitiveness. The reason why he strongly advocates launching a trade war with China and exerting continuous pressure on the short-term goal is to cut off the possibility of China acquiring “real money and silver” from the United States by narrowing the scale of the US trade deficit with China and even achieving bilateral import and export balance.

The medium-term goal is to cut off our technical links with the most developed economies, divest China from the global high-end value chain, and even “clear” China’s prospects for integration into the global high-end value chain. The long-term goal is to lock the renminbi’s international behavior space within the scope of the US dollar system, and turn China, which has become the world’s second largest economy, into a super economic vassal of the United States. Only in today’s global economic integration trend can not be artificially blocked or even reversed, zero-sum game thinking has been fully proved harmful. The extreme people will be able to believe that Sino-US economic and trade relations can be completely decoupled, and they will hit the daily limit at a price of up to 600 billion U.S. dollars in bilateral trade and up to 250 billion U.S. dollars in two-way investment. The far-sighted politicians and business leaders of both China and the United States should be aware that regardless of global economic growth, financial market stability, new trade rules, and forward-looking technological developments, or effective solutions to the complex economic problems between China and the United States, Close cooperation between the two countries is inseparable.

Navarro, who has already entered the dead end, may wish to compare Lawrence Summers, who is the youngest tenured professor in Harvard’s history at the age of 28 and later the chairman of the 8th National Economic Conference, to sort out the latter’s China’s economic policy ideas. The 71st finance minister of the United States, whose blood is flowing in the blood, is not willing to see the rapid growth of China’s economic and financial forces, but never advocates extreme irrational measures against China. Because China is not the former Soviet Union or today’s Iran, it is a super-emerging economy that has long been deeply integrated into the global industry, technology, trade and financial division of labor. How to deal with the various links between the United States and China must first rely on sufficient information, accurate data and an adaptive analysis framework for cost and benefit accounting, which is the premise of rational decision-making. Otherwise, relying on lies and fiction to support the logic of China’s economic policies is doomed to slip the world. The United States, which has the most Nobel laureate in economics, is the time to make rational choices.